MMA Betting Tips: UFC Vegas 46
3pts Joanderson Brito to win against Bill Algeo to 8/11 (General)
2pts Katlyn Chookagian wins by decision against Jennifer Maia at 10/11 (PaddyPower, Betfair)
1pt Court McGee to win by decision against Ramiz Brahimaj at 19/10 (William Hill)
Sky Bet Odds | power of rice | Betfair sports betting
Deja vu at 125 pounds
In November 2019, KATLYN CHOOKAGIAN and Jennifer Maia competed for the right to be named number one contender and possibly challenge for the Flyweight title. In what was expected to be an evenly matched affair between two well-rounded athletes, Chookagian ultimately emerged as the clear winner, putting in one of the best performances of her 20-fight career.
blonde fighter was able to use his physical advantages to perfection in this fight, landing some nice ranged combinations against the shorter fighter with less reach. Chookagian outclassed his Brazilian counterpart in every aspect of MMA, successfully defending takedowns and executing his game plan perfectly.
However, despite the luxury of having seen this fight happen once before, the betting odds for Saturday night’s rematch aren’t too different from their first fight. The main difference in 2019 came from Chookagian’s ability to use his physical advantages, which will still come in handy this weekend.
With the fight taking place in the same weight class and no athlete having changed their style since, it’s hard to see Saturday night’s result different from the first.
Chookagian will go down in history as the first UFC fighter to earn 10 wins exclusively by decision if she repeats her 2019 performance, but I’m having a hard time seeing her find a finish against a woman who’s gone 25 minutes. against Valentina Shevchenko.
Therefore, Chookagian’s decision win is a confident play at 10/11.
Future blockbuster Brito
JOANDERSON BRITOThe UFC debut is one that many fans have been looking forward to.
The Brazilian’s stunning performance in the Contender Series earned him his 10th straight victory, with UFC President Dana White predicting him as “one of the next great Brazilian fighters” in the years to come.
tubarao fights with enormous pressure, throwing bombs with great precision every time he gets close. While he certainly has knockout potential on the feet, he can also meddle in takedowns and threaten submissions on the mat.
With such an attacking style, many would expect such a fighter’s cardio to drop in the later rounds, but Brito has proven he can fight competently for 15 minutes, making him a force to be with. it is necessary to count at all times of the fight.
Brito’s opponent, Bill Algeo, also competed in the Contender Series in 2019 but ultimately failed to win. He found his way to the UFC as a short-notice replacement a year later, managing a 1-2 record so far.
Señor Perfecto is a well-rounded contender who won’t be easily deterred, but his takedown defense leaves a lot to be desired. Algeo has been knocked down 20 times in the aforementioned four bouts, leaving him in danger from Brito’s brutal ground strike on Saturday night.
While the American is clearly outclassed, he struggles to make the necessary adjustments to tip the scales in his favor.
Against Brito, Algeo will likely suffer a similar fate, where the Brazilian’s relentless pace, powerful strikes and dominant control will prove too much.
Layers only considered Brito a slight favorite, which might seem incredibly generous in hindsight. Backing Brito to win is something UFC fans should get used to, as the Brazilian could be the next big star on Sunday morning.
Court in session
McGEE Court is a savvy veteran who has been fighting professionally for 15 years. Known for its durability and perseverance, The grinder has made a decision in each of his last eight fights, dating back to 2016.
In fact, 19 of his 30 pro fights have gone unsuccessful, which means any future opponent should be prepared for a 15-minute war if they have a chance of defeating the journeyman.
Saturday night, McGee faces an opponent with a record that couldn’t be more different from his. Ramiz Brahimaj is relatively inexperienced by comparison, sporting a 9-3 record that sees all wins come by way of submission.
All but one of those wins came in the first round, showing that Brahimaj is a fast starter looking to end his fights as quickly as possible.
Unfortunately for the 29-year-old, the momentum seems to be going in the opposite direction if his fights extend over a longer distance. On the four occasions we’ve seen Brahimaj venture into the second round, he looks like a completely different fighter who can’t maintain his aggressive grappling style, opting instead to trade strikes to the feet where he’s noticeably less at risk. ‘easy.
Three of those fights ended in losses, two of them by decision, alongside a third-round doctor stoppage more recently.
The tipping point in this fight against McGee therefore revolves around the opening stanza, and whether or not Brahimaj can secure his ninth first-round submission win. Considering McGee is yet to finish his pro career, I’m inclined to side with the veteran here.
The grinder has faced top grapplers over the years, including a decision win over Claudio Silva as recently as May 2021. So he should be able to survive the opening shoot-off on Saturday night, before overturning the steam in the second round and pick up another one. victory by decision.
McGee should definitely be favored here, but backing him to win by decision at near 2/1 odds is probably the most attractive bet on the entire card.
Posted 18:50 GMT on 01/13/22
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